英国数学家贝叶斯在概率论研究方面成就显著,根据贝叶斯统计理论,随机事件
![](https://math.21cnjy.com/MathMLToImage?mml=%3Cmath+xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F1998%2FMath%2FMathML%22%3E%3Cmi%3EA%3C%2Fmi%3E%3Cmn%3E++%EF%BC%8C+%3C%2Fmn%3E%3Cmi%3EB%3C%2Fmi%3E%3C%2Fmath%3E)
存在如下关系:
![](https://math.21cnjy.com/MathMLToImage?mml=%3Cmath+xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F1998%2FMath%2FMathML%22%3E%3Cmi%3EP%3C%2Fmi%3E%3Cmn%3E%28%3C%2Fmn%3E%3Cmi%3EA%3C%2Fmi%3E%3Cmrow%3E%3Cmo%3E%7C%3C%2Fmo%3E%3Cmrow%3E%3Cmi%3EB%3C%2Fmi%3E%3C%2Fmrow%3E%3C%2Fmrow%3E%3Cmn%3E%29%3C%2Fmn%3E%3Cmo%3E%3D%3C%2Fmo%3E%3Cmfrac%3E%3Cmrow%3E%3Cmi%3EP%3C%2Fmi%3E%3Cmn%3E%28%3C%2Fmn%3E%3Cmi%3EA%3C%2Fmi%3E%3Cmn%3E%29%3C%2Fmn%3E%3Cmi%3EP%3C%2Fmi%3E%3Cmn%3E%28%3C%2Fmn%3E%3Cmi%3EB%3C%2Fmi%3E%3Cmrow%3E%3Cmo%3E%7C%3C%2Fmo%3E%3Cmrow%3E%3Cmi%3EA%3C%2Fmi%3E%3C%2Fmrow%3E%3C%2Fmrow%3E%3Cmn%3E%29%3C%2Fmn%3E%3C%2Fmrow%3E%3Cmrow%3E%3Cmi%3EP%3C%2Fmi%3E%3Cmn%3E%28%3C%2Fmn%3E%3Cmi%3EB%3C%2Fmi%3E%3Cmn%3E%29%3C%2Fmn%3E%3C%2Fmrow%3E%3C%2Fmfrac%3E%3C%2Fmath%3E)
,
![](https://math.21cnjy.com/MathMLToImage?mml=%3Cmath+xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F1998%2FMath%2FMathML%22%3E%3Cmn%3E2%3C%2Fmn%3E%3Cmn%3E0%3C%2Fmn%3E%3Cmn%3E2%3C%2Fmn%3E%3Cmn%3E3%3C%2Fmn%3E%3C%2Fmath%3E)
贺岁档电影精彩纷呈,有几部影片是小明期待想去影院看的.小明同学家附近有甲、乙两家影院,小明第一天去甲、乙两家影院观影的概率分别为0.4和0.6.如果他第一天去甲影院,那么第二天去甲影院的概率为0.6;如果第一天去乙影院,那么第二天去甲影院的概率为0.5,则小明同学( )
- A、第二天去甲影院的概率为0.44
- B、第二天去乙影院的概率为0.44
- C、第二天去了甲影院,则第一天去乙影院的概率为
![](https://math.21cnjy.com/MathMLToImage?mml=%3Cmath+xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F1998%2FMath%2FMathML%22%3E%3Cmfrac%3E%3Cmrow%3E%3Cmn%3E4%3C%2Fmn%3E%3C%2Fmrow%3E%3Cmrow%3E%3Cmn%3E9%3C%2Fmn%3E%3C%2Fmrow%3E%3C%2Fmfrac%3E%3C%2Fmath%3E)
- D、第二天去了乙影院,则第一天去甲影院的概率为
![](https://math.21cnjy.com/MathMLToImage?mml=%3Cmath+xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F1998%2FMath%2FMathML%22%3E%3Cmfrac%3E%3Cmrow%3E%3Cmn%3E8%3C%2Fmn%3E%3C%2Fmrow%3E%3Cmrow%3E%3Cmn%3E2%3C%2Fmn%3E%3Cmn%3E3%3C%2Fmn%3E%3C%2Fmrow%3E%3C%2Fmfrac%3E%3C%2Fmath%3E)